Prices are holding steady, inventory is climbing, and the county still leans slightly toward sellers. Here's what the latest data actually means for you.
If you've been watching the Sonoma County real estate market and wondering whether now is a good time to buy or sell, the short answer is: it depends on your situation, but the market is giving you clear signals to work with.
As of June 1, 2026, the median list price for single-family homes in Sonoma County sits at $1,195,000. That number has barely budged over the past several months, and the Market Action Index (MAI), which measures how quickly homes are selling relative to available supply, has held steady at 41. That's exactly where it was last month. A score above 30 signals seller's territory, and we're comfortably there.
What that plateau tells us is that prices aren't being pushed up by frenzied demand, but they're also not softening. The market has found a kind of equilibrium. For buyers, that means you're not in a race against the clock the way you might have been in 2021 or 2022. For sellers, it means well-priced, well-presented homes are still moving, and you haven't missed the window.
One of the more notable trends right now is that inventory has been climbing. Active listings are at 876 county-wide. More homes on the market generally means more options for buyers and a bit more negotiating leverage, but it doesn't automatically signal a buyer's market.
The key metric to watch alongside inventory is the MAI. As long as demand keeps pace with supply, prices will hold. If the MAI starts dropping consistently, especially toward or below 30, that's when you'd expect to see downward pressure on prices. For now, that hasn't happened. Three of the four price quartiles of the market remain firmly in seller's territory.
Sonoma County is a diverse market, and the numbers look quite different depending on what price range you're shopping in.
| Segment (approx. 25% of market) | Median price | Median sq ft | Median DOM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top quartile (luxury) | $3,200,000 | 3,418 | 56 days |
| Upper-mid quartile | $1,575,000 | 2,368 | 49 days |
| Lower-mid quartile | $925,000 | 1,898 | 35 days |
| Entry-level quartile | $650,000 | 1,240 | 35 days |
The entry-level and lower-mid segments are moving fastest. Homes in those ranges are going under contract in about 35 days on average. The luxury segment, with a median price of $3.2M, is taking closer to two months. That's typical behavior: premium properties attract a smaller buyer pool and take longer, but they're still selling.
It's also worth noting that 31% of active listings have had a price reduction. That doesn't mean the market is distressed. It often reflects sellers testing the upper edge of pricing and adjusting when the market responds. Homes priced right from day one are still getting traction.
You're still in a favorable position. Sonoma County has been in seller's territory for an extended period, and with inventory rising but demand holding, the window is open. That said, proper pricing is more important now than it was two years ago. Overpriced listings are sitting; accurately priced ones are moving. If you've been considering listing, this summer is a reasonable time to do it.
The good news: you have more choices than you did a year ago, and the bidding war frenzy of the post-pandemic years has largely cooled. With a median days on market of 42, you don't need to make a panicked offer the day a home hits the MLS. That said, well-priced homes in the lower and mid segments are still moving quickly. Getting pre-approved and knowing exactly what you're looking for will put you in a strong position when the right home comes up.
The Sonoma County market is nuanced and varies meaningfully by city, neighborhood, and price point. Windsor, Healdsburg, Santa Rosa, Petaluma, and Sebastopol each have their own dynamics. If you want a read on a specific area, we're happy to pull the numbers for you.
The Sonoma County real estate market heading into June 2026 is stable, with prices plateaued near $1.2M, a slight seller's advantage still in place, and rising inventory worth monitoring. Whether you're buying, selling, or just keeping tabs on your home's value, the data points toward a market that rewards preparation and smart pricing, not panic in either direction. The Sonoma County market is nuanced and varies meaningfully by city, neighborhood, and price point. Windsor, Healdsburg, Santa Rosa, Petaluma, and Sebastopol each have their own dynamics. If you want a read on a specific area, we're happy to pull the numbers for you.
Thinking about buying or selling in Sonoma County?
The Schween Group has been serving this market for over 30 years. We know the neighborhoods, the nuances, and the numbers. Reach out for a no-pressure conversation about where you stand.
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By The Schween Group | Compass Real Estate | Sonoma County, Napa County & Beyond
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